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cMax Rankings
Men's Varsity Eight
May 15, 2024



(Rankings appear by date, with newest rankings at the left)


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By Team
Teams
 

    5/15/24     5/8/24     5/1/24     4/24/24     4/17/24  
Rank   Team Secs Back   Team Secs Back   Team Secs Back   Team Secs Back   Team Secs Back
                               
1   Princeton - 0   Cal - 0   Princeton - 0   Princeton - 0   Princeton - 0
2   Cal - 0   Princeton 0.3   Harvard 1.4   Harvard 1.2   Cal 0.7
3   Washington 1.7   Washington 1.9   Brown 2.7   Cal 2.1   Harvard 4.7
4   Harvard 1.8   Harvard 2.0   Cal 2.9   Washington 2.9   Syracuse 6.0
5   Brown 2.8   Brown 3.1   Washington 3.3   Brown 3.3   Washington 7.3
6   Yale 3.9   Yale 4.2   Yale 3.7   Yale 4.2   Penn 7.4
7   NEastern 5.3   NEastern 5.5   Penn 4.6   Syracuse 5.4   Brown 7.6
8   Syracuse 5.9   Syracuse 6.1   NEastern 4.8   NEastern 5.5   Yale 7.9
9   Penn 7.7   Penn 8.0   Syracuse 6.6   Penn 6.4   NEastern 9.3
10   Dartmouth 9.9   Dartmouth 10.1   Dartmouth 10.1   Navy 11.3   Navy 10.6
11   BU 12.3   BU 12.8   Stanford 12.6   Dartmouth 11.9   Dartmouth 12.7
12   Navy 13.3   Navy 13.3   BU 12.7   BU 12.3   Minn 14.3
13   Stanford 13.7   Stanford 13.6   Navy 13.8   Stanford 13.1   Stanford 15.4
14   Cornell 13.9   Cornell 14.2   Cornell 14.8   Cornell 13.3   Drexel 15.9
15   Drexel 15.9   Drexel 15.6   Drexel 16.0   Drexel 15.0   UCSD 15.9
16   Wisconsin 16.0   Wisconsin 16.3   Wisconsin 16.2   Georgetown 16.5   Columbia 16.4
17   Columbia 16.8   Columbia 16.9   Columbia 17.3   Wisconsin 16.7   Georgetown 16.8
18   UCSD 17.0   UCSD 17.7   LaSalle 18.3   UCSD 16.7   Wisconsin 17.5
19   OregonSt 18.9   LaSalle 18.0   UCSD 18.4   LaSalle 17.1   BU 18.1
20   Minn 19.4   OregonSt 19.1   Minn 19.7   Columbia 18.0   LaSalle 18.9
21   Georgetown 20.1   Minn 19.4   Georgetown 20.4   Minn 18.1   HolyCross 19.4
22   LaSalle 20.4   Georgetown 20.3   OregonSt 20.7   OregonSt 19.0   Virginia 19.4
23   Virginia 20.8   HolyCross 21.4   HolyCross 21.4   HolyCross 19.3   OregonSt 20.1
24   HolyCross 21.0   Virginia 21.5   Virginia 21.8   Virginia 19.9   OCC 20.7
25   NotreDame 21.3   NotreDame 22.2   NotreDame 22.5   NotreDame 20.5   MIT 21.2
26   Temple 21.7   UCLA 24.1   MIT 24.0   OCC 21.1   Stetson 21.3
27   Wesleyan 22.7   Wesleyan 24.2   UCLA 24.4   MIT 21.9   Jacksnvl 21.5
28   UCLA 23.0   MIT 24.6   Trinity 25.5   UCLA 23.0   Trinity 22.3
29   MIT 23.5   OCC 25.3   Wesleyan 25.5   Temple 23.6   UCLA 22.7
30   OCC 24.1   Trinity 25.4   OCC 25.6   Wesleyan 23.8   Wesleyan 23.3
31   Williams 25.7   Jacksnvl 26.2   Temple 26.3   Trinity 23.9   Temple 23.7
32   Trinity 25.8   Temple 26.2   Jacksnvl 26.5   Jacksnvl 24.4   Rutgers 24.0
33   WOntario 26.1   Colgate 26.9   Colgate 27.1   Colgate 25.1   Gonzaga 24.8
34   Gonzaga 26.4   Gonzaga 27.1   Gonzaga 27.4   Gonzaga 25.3   Williams 24.9
35   Colgate 27.2   Tufts 28.1   Williams 28.1   StJos 27.1   StJos 26.2
36   Tufts 28.1   Rutgers 28.6   Rutgers 28.9   Williams 27.2   Colgate 26.4
37   SantaClara 28.1   SantaClara 28.8   Tufts 29.2   Rutgers 27.6   Tufts 26.9
38   USD 28.2   Williams 29.1   SantaClara 29.5   SantaClara 27.9   Hobart 27.9
39   Jacksnvl 28.4   USD 29.1   USD 29.6   USD 28.0   USD 28.2
40   StJos 28.6   StJos 29.8   StJos 29.9   Tufts 28.4   Michigan 28.3
41   Rutgers 29.8   Michigan 31.1   Michigan 31.3   Michigan 29.4   Bates 30.5
42   Michigan 29.8   Bates 31.3   Hobart 31.6   Hobart 29.4   ERAU 30.9
43   Bates 30.1   Hobart 32.9   Bates 32.8   Bates 30.1   SantaClara 31.2
44   FIT 30.8   Stetson 33.4   Stetson 33.7   Stetson 31.7   Marietta 33.0
45   Stetson 31.6   FIT 34.1   FIT 34.4   FIT 32.4   Lehigh 33.3
46   GW 31.7   GW 34.2   GW 34.4   WSU 32.9   Bucknell 33.4
47   Bucknell 31.9   Bucknell 34.9   CoastGrd 35.1   Bucknell 33.3   WPI 33.7
48   Hobart 32.5   Marietta 35.3   Bucknell 35.1   Marietta 33.3   CoastGrd 35.2
49   Delaware 32.7   WSU 35.5   Marietta 35.3   Purdue 34.4   Loyola 35.4
50   Colby 33.6   Purdue 36.1   WSU 35.9   GW 34.7   Marist 35.5
51   CoastGrd 33.6   CoastGrd 36.6   Purdue 36.3   CoastGrd 35.5   Purdue 36.6
52   Marietta 33.9   Colby 37.6   WPI 38.0   WPI 35.6   Rollins 36.7
53   WSU 34.2   ERAU 37.7   ERAU 38.1   ERAU 36.0   UNC 36.8
54   Purdue 34.4   WPI 38.2   Colby 38.1   Mercyhurst 37.4   UCDavis 37.3
55   ERAU 35.4   UCDavis 38.8   UCDavis 39.2   Colby 37.4   Florida 37.6
56   Army 36.5   Mercyhurst 39.2   Mercyhurst 39.4   Lehigh 37.6   WSU 37.6
57   Mercyhurst 36.7   Marist 40.0   Marist 39.7   UCDavis 37.7   Mercyhurst 37.9
58   Lehigh 37.1   Lehigh 40.2   Lehigh 40.4   Marist 37.7   Hamilton 37.9
59   UCDavis 37.7   Delaware 40.8   Delaware 41.0   Hamilton 38.2   Ithaca 38.1
60   Iona 37.7   Hamilton 41.2   Hamilton 41.8   Ithaca 38.5   Colby 40.0
61   WPI 37.8   Ithaca 42.9   Ithaca 42.4   Delaware 39.3   Iona 40.6
62   Loyola 38.0   Iona 42.9   Iona 43.1   URI 41.5   Fairfield 40.7
63   Ithaca 39.5   USC 44.1   USC 44.4   Iona 42.7   USC 43.7
64   Marist 40.4   URI 44.2   UNC 45.2   Loyola 43.1   UCSB 45.6
65   Fairfield 41.9   Middlebury 44.3   Loyola 45.3   Rollins 43.4   UCI 47.7
66   Middlebury 42.1   UNC 44.9   Rollins 45.4   UNC 43.4   FloridaSt 49.2
67   UNC 42.6   Loyola 45.1   Vanderbilt 45.5   Vanderbilt 43.6   GrandValley 49.9
68   USC 42.9   Rollins 45.1   URI 45.7   USC 44.2   UCF 50.4
69   Vanderbilt 43.2   Vanderbilt 45.3   UCI 46.2   UCSB 46.0   Catholic 50.9
70   StLawrence 44.1   UCI 45.8   UCSB 46.6   Fairfield 47.4   LMU 51.7
71   URI 44.4   UCSB 46.3   Army 48.1   BC 47.6   RIT 52.7
72   UCI 44.7   Army 47.9   Fairfield 50.8   UCI 48.2   Union 53.2
73   UCSB 45.2   StLawrence 47.9   Texas 51.1   Texas 48.9   Skidmore 54.0
74   Hamilton 45.9   Fairfield 50.6   LMU 51.5   VaTech 51.2   Vassar 56.8
75   Rollins 48.4   Texas 50.9   BC 52.3   GaTech 51.3   WashCol 58.2
76   Bowdoin 48.8   Bowdoin 51.0   GaTech 53.4   Catholic 52.1   Adrian 58.6
77   Texas 49.0   LMU 51.2   VaTech 54.1   LMU 52.4   Georgia 58.9
78   GaTech 49.2   GaTech 53.2   GrandValley 54.9   GrandValley 53.0   StMarys(MD) 59.0
79   LMU 50.1   RIT 53.4   RIT 56.5   RIT 53.2   ArizonaSt 62.1
80   RIT 50.6   VaTech 53.9   Florida 57.7   Union 54.0   LBS 66.0
81   VaTech 52.2   BC 54.5   Catholic 58.0   Skidmore 54.7   Villanova 66.8
82   BC 52.5   GrandValley 54.6   Bowdoin 58.1   Florida 55.6   FranklinMarshall 70.2
83   Vassar 53.0   Florida 57.4   Clemson 58.6   Clemson 56.4   L&C 72.3
84   Union 53.8   Catholic 58.3   UCF 59.1   UCF 56.9   Stockton 74.0
85   GrandValley 53.8   Clemson 58.4   FloridaSt 60.3   Vassar 57.6   SDSU  
86   Villanova 54.6   Union 58.8   L&C 60.3   StMarys(MD) 57.6   NWestern  
87   Catholic 55.0   UCF 58.8   Skidmore 60.8   FloridaSt 58.2   MichSU  
88   Clemson 56.5   UVM 59.7   Lafayette 61.4   WashCol 58.5   Illinois  
89   Florida 56.9   L&C 59.9   Georgia 61.4   Adrian 58.6   SouthFL  
90   UCF 58.1   FloridaSt 60.0   WashCol 62.2   Georgia 59.2      
91   L&C 58.8   Georgia 61.1   StMarys(MD) 62.3   ArizonaSt 62.7      
92   UVM 58.9   Lafayette 61.3   Union 62.5   MichSU 62.9      
93   Georgia 59.4   WashCol 61.7   Vassar 62.9   NWestern 64.4      
94   WashCol 59.7   StMarys(MD) 62.3   ArizonaSt 63.2   Villanova 65.5      
95   Skidmore 59.8   Vassar 62.8   Adrian 63.2   LBS 66.5      
96   FloridaSt 60.1   ArizonaSt 62.8   WWU 63.3   L&C 67.6      
97   Adrian 60.4   WWU 62.9   Middlebury 64.0   WichitaSt 67.8      
98   Lafayette 61.2   Adrian 63.3   MichSU 64.7   FranklinMarshall 70.0      
99   StMarys(MD) 61.2   MichSU 64.5   Villanova 66.0   Illinois 73.5      
100   ArizonaSt 61.7   Villanova 65.5   NWestern 66.2   Alabama 73.6      
101   WWU 61.8   Skidmore 65.8   LBS 66.7   Stockton 73.9      
102   MichSU 63.7   NWestern 65.9   WichitaSt 69.9   Tulane 74.8      
103   NWestern 65.2   LBS 66.4   GeoMason 70.3   SDSU        
104   LBS 65.3   ConnCol 69.4   ConnCol 72.9   UConn        
105   WichitaSt 68.1   WichitaSt 69.6   FranklinMarshall 73.5   NCState        
106   GeoMason 69.0   GeoMason 70.1   Illinois     SouthFL        
107   ConnCol 69.7   FranklinMarshall 73.5   Alabama              
108   Stockton 72.2   Illinois     UVM              
109   UConn 73.1   Alabama     SDSU              
110   FranklinMarshall 73.8   SDSU     Tulane              
111   Alabama 74.0   Tulane     Stockton              
112   Illinois 74.3   Stockton     UConn              
113   SDSU 74.7   UConn     Chico State              
114   Tulane 75.2   Chico State     UNH              
115   Chico State     UNH     NCState              
116   UNH     NCState     SouthFL              
117   NCState     SouthFL                    
118   SouthFL                          

You will see tabs at the top of the page; clicking through the tabs will show you this week's results in different presentations, including by rank, alpha by team, and by division for women's eights.

What is cMax?

The results rank teams, and more importantly, provide a relative estimate of how fast a team is. The rankings are intended for entertainment purposes, and are not intended to replace official league and coaches polls.

The "Secs Back" figures predict how much each ranked team will be behind the #1 ranked boat in an average "standardized" race; approximately six minutes for men's eights, seven minutes for women's eights. So, if Team A is 12 "Secs Back", then they are predicted to be 12 seconds behind the #1 team in a standardized race. To compare two teams, just look at the difference in their "Secs Back" numbers. If A is 12 seconds back and B is 16 seconds back, then the model predicts that, on average for the standardized races, A will beat B by 4 seconds.

You'll see that there is much more information in the "Secs Back" than in the rankings. In some cases, closely ranked teams have very different "Secs Back" and are thus not likely to be very competitive... and in other cases, 10 teams are within 1 second of one another.

Methodology:
The model uses a well-known statistical technique called OLS (ordinary least squares). It is based on the premise that although individual race results may vary, if Team A is on average 2 seconds better than Team B, and if B is on average 2 seconds better than Team C, then, on average, Team A will beat Team C by 4 seconds.

In addition to head-to-head race times, the model considers 1) general race conditions (distance, current, wind, etc.), 2) date of the race (more recent races count more than races earlier in the season), and 3) whether the team was "pressed" in the race (was there another boat close by at the finish or did they win by open water?).

Heat results, which are given less weight than Finals results, are included in the analysis only to the extent that an outcome was "pivotal." So, for instance, if the top three boats in a six-team race go to the Finals, and the bottom three go to the Petites, only the heat race times for the third and fourth place boats that battled to get into the Finals are included in the model. The model does not consider "home-court" or lane advantages, but does consider equipment failure to the extent that is reported at www.row2k.com .

Data:
The statistical model is based solely on the current season Varsity 8's race results as reported at www.row2k.com , beginning with races in February and continuing through last weekend. Some effort is made to clean up the data, as there can be errors in the posted results.

Teams are included in the final rankings only if they have raced at least twice against other teams that have raced at least twice.

cMax Ratings:
cMax collegiate crew ratings were developed by Chris Maxwell. Chris currently teaches Sports Economics and Game Theory at Boston College. He has a BA in Mathematics and Economics from Penn and a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard.

Andrew Kirk does an amazing job pulling the race results database together on a weekly basis. Chris has been producing cMax collegiate crew ratings since 2002. He has fallen out of a single into the Charles many times and does not pretend to know much about rowing or sculling. Fortunately, others have helped in the development of the model -- most notably, Tom Murray with rowing and Chris Cavanagh with statistics.

Any comments or questions can be sent to Chris by writing row2k.


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